Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.189630 0.215931 0.244169 0.276694 0.313077 0.352471 0.398307
2025-12-21 0.152937 0.187749 0.227644 0.276579 0.334806 0.401688 0.484132
2025-12-28 0.129152 0.169198 0.217733 0.280524 0.359205 0.454098 0.576728
2026-01-04 0.112581 0.156273 0.211912 0.287327 0.386149 0.510419 0.677574
2026-01-11 0.097991 0.143442 0.203994 0.289601 0.406363 0.558738 0.771053
2026-01-18 0.087373 0.134261 0.199341 0.294908 0.430004 0.612189 0.874036
2026-01-25 0.079464 0.127687 0.197183 0.302814 0.457031 0.671203 0.987636
2026-02-01 0.070434 0.118208 0.189608 0.301791 0.470693 0.711889 1.077638
2026-02-08 0.062729 0.109736 0.182454 0.300334 0.482999 0.750698 1.166521
2026-02-15 0.056150 0.102210 0.175848 0.298804 0.494572 0.788518 1.255457
2026-02-22 0.052130 0.098404 0.174633 0.305369 0.518663 0.845948 1.376322
2026-03-01 0.047325 0.092660 0.169618 0.305171 0.531730 0.886882 1.473795
2026-03-08 0.042865 0.087160 0.164710 0.305081 0.545528 0.930694 1.579888
2026-03-15 0.039019 0.082327 0.160459 0.305667 0.560347 0.976852 1.692196
2026-03-22 0.036200 0.079098 0.158712 0.310377 0.582307 1.035651 1.827917
2026-03-29 0.034062 0.076939 0.158674 0.318045 0.609744 1.104835 1.984137
2026-04-05 0.031492 0.073586 0.156045 0.320655 0.628267 1.159826 2.119249
2026-04-12 0.029553 0.071312 0.155244 0.326538 0.652915 1.226407 2.277122
2026-04-19 0.028088 0.069875 0.155927 0.335240 0.683161 1.304121 2.457748
2026-04-26 0.025757 0.066233 0.151801 0.334138 0.694881 1.349528 2.583876
2026-05-03 0.023612 0.062741 0.147634 0.332552 0.705431 1.393162 2.708666
2026-05-10 0.021667 0.059473 0.143613 0.330880 0.715576 1.436370 2.834459
2026-05-17 0.020618 0.058239 0.143869 0.338079 0.743559 1.513777 3.025883